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Well... now what? That is the thought process of many Vancouverites at the moment as we try to get our feet back on the ground after an absolutely spectacular Olympic experience. With everyone back at work and returning to our routines, I am getting lots of questions about what to expect with local real estate. If the first two months are any indication, and I think they will be, it looks like we are set for a strong start. We are starting to see an increase in inventory to satisfy the hungry buyers out there and rates remain low. Look for a busy market to carry through the first six months of the year in what will be a swift yet moderately balanced marketplace.

The Olympic Impact: Was there one?

Now, when I question the Olympic impact, please be advised that I am not at all ignoring the fabulous affect the Olympics have had on our city. Quite the contrary actually, as I believe that the experience was extraordinary and it was amazing to see how the city embraced the event. I feel lucky to have been a part of what will surely be remembered as the best party Vancouver has ever hosted.However, when it comes to real estate, it appears that the short-term impact of the Olympics was almost non-existent.

As you can plainly see in the market statistics on the next page, February market activity kept trucking along, oblivious to the Olympic distractions, to the tune of a 67% increase in the number of sales compared to February of last year and 29% over January of this year. This seems to fly in the face of the common expectation, which was that the market would effectively stall while the Olympics were in town. Moving forward, with inventory levels creeping up to match consumer demand and mortgage rates remaining at all time lows, it is hard to imagine that the market will not keep rolling on through the second quarter of this year as well.

Of course, the long term impact of the Olympics on Vancouver remains to be seen, but February appears to show something that I have believed all along: the Vancouver real estate market has not been and will not be greatly affected by the Olympics. There are far more relevant factors in determining the dtirection of the local market, which include immigration into Vancouver, mortgage rates, pent-up demand and employment rates. These have been the primary factors at play pre-Olympics and remain the primary factors post-Olympics. Sure, the international exposure was nice, but does it really change the housing market? In my opinion, no... at least not this year.

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Market Statistics

REBGV reports that residential property sales in Greater Vancouver totaled 2,473 in February 2010, an increase of 67.1% compared to February 2009 and up 28.6% over January 2010.
Over the last 12 months, the MLSLink Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver increased 19.7 per cent to $581,911 from $486,054 in February 2009. This price is 2.4 per cent above the previous high point in the market in May 2008.

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Mortgage Update

A few new mortgage rules to be aware of:
Mortgage qualification on five year fixed rates regardless of the actual term a borrower is taking
Maximum refinance of an existing property of up to 90% (down from 95%)
Minimum 20% down for investment properties
Nothing major here for most buyers, as the changes are mainly aimed at investors.

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Quotable

Go as far as you can see: when you get there, youll be able to see farther.
- J.P. Morgan